Tropical Storm Elsa Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38

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FONT15 KNHC 091445
PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM ELSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052021 1500 UTC FRI JUL 09 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ELSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) BURGEO NFLD 34 X 22(22) 6(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) PTX BASQUES 34 X 41(41) 3(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
PTX BASQUES 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SYDNEY NS 34 X 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) SABLE ISLAND 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HALIFAX NS 34 6 32(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) YARMOUTH NS 34 59 13(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
YARMOUTH NS 50 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONCTON NB 34 X 18(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ST JOHN NB 34 6 24(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) EASTPORT ME 34 36 7(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
EASTPORT ME 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAR HARBOR ME 34 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) BOSTON MA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HYANNIS MA 34 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) NANTUCKET MA 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) PROVIDENCE RI 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NEW LONDON CT 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTAUK POINT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BROWN